3WGRThree Wager
3WGR · Three Wager

A measurement layer for betting prices.

It shows the de-vigged fair price, the best legal retail price, and the gap. It does not tell you what to bet, and it makes no claim of predictive advantage.

What this is — and isn't

Three friends built this to answer one question honestly: is there a real, legally-takeable edge in the price we get versus the sharp fair line? So it measures exactly that — every game, bet or not — and grades whether our bets beat the closing line.

There is no 1–100 edge score, no tiers, no Kelly sizing, and no “follow the sharps.” Those were removed because the data showed they were market echo, not edge. Nothing here is for sale.

⚖️

The fair price

A sharp exchange line (Betfair), de-vigged to the true probability for each side. A probability source only — never surfaced as a bettable price.

🏷️

The best legal price

The best price across regulated US books — offshore books are excluded by default, because an edge you can't legally take isn't an edge.

📐

The gap

Edge = fair probability minus the retail price's implied probability. Positive means the price is soft; negative means you're paying more than the outcome is worth.

How it works

Pick a side blind — before any number is shown — so your read isn't biased by the price. The card then reveals the fair price, the best legal price, and the gap. Log the bet you actually placed. The report tracks edge, CLV, and whether your side selection beats the market's own probability — over 30 days, to answer whether the edge is real. If it isn't, the tool stays a tracker. It's built to let the data say no.